| Our
profit and loss projections have been based on sales of
500 sandwiches a day, five days a week, with additional
sales of patisseries and hot and cold drinks. Saturday
sales have been estimated at 50% of the average daily
sale. Weekly sales have been multiplied across only
fifty weeks in the year to take account of bank
holidays.
At
440 sandwiches a day (with additional sales reduced pro
rata) we are at break-even point.
500
sandwiches seems a lot, but then Marks & Spencer put
2,000 a day in their sandwich displays. Boots account
for a further 150 a day. There are numerous cob shops in
Leicester, so the total market for sandwiches and/or
rolls runs into several thousand a day. If we ignore the
cob shops and assume that we are only in the smaller
market for up-market sandwiches in the city centre, we
are aiming for a 25% market share. This is not
unreasonable if the quality, level, and speed of service
is better than the chain stores can offer although it
may take time to build up sales.
In
our cash flow projections we have prudently assumed that
it takes many months to establish a reputation, with
sales building up slowly to 500 a day over eighteen
months. Sales start at only 250 a day in the first
month.
We
have studied other sandwich bars for clues to the volume
that can be served. Outside of London, there is very
little to compare with. Most are in poor locations with
hardly any passing trade and are, for the most part,
inefficiently run.
A
similar operation in Milton Keynes, known as Brunches,
served 300 customers between 11.30 and 2.30 on the day
we observed. Brunches has almost no passing trade and
all customers make a special journey to the shop. We
have not been convinced that customer counts at similar
operations give any clue to those we might expect at
Cheapside.
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